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Measuring Risk: Key Risk Indicators (KRI)

July 20th, 2010
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“The best method to grow thin is to amputate own hand”

With this comment Gary Cokins illustrated the practice of the unreasonable cost reduction, tendency which became popular lately among some short-sighted companies during the worldwide financial crisis. Gary Cokins is the famous expert of enhancement of efficiency in corporate business and his comment obviously doesn’t lack the expressiveness. The public interest to his statements warmed up by the uncertainty which characterizes not only the condition of some companies but the condition of the whole world economy.

Gary Cokins pointed out some tendencies in Corporate Performance Management (CPM) which call special attention. He emphasized particularly that the statement defining CPM as a system of budgeting, managing and controlling of strategic development is very narrow. The definition should include also “conscious risk management”. The main goal of such management is not to minimize the risk exposure of the company but offset the company with risk appetite because only taking the risk leaders can achieve competitive advantage. But to be able to gain such advantage a leader should know market risk, risk transfer, operational risk and legislative risk. The special attention should be paid to transfer risk because these risks are not depending on external circumstance as much as others and could be controlled. Gary Cokins said that in this case Key Risk Indicators (KRI) and Key Performance Indicators (KPI) should be controlled at the same time. It is also important to monitor the right indexes for KPI and KRI of corporate level through all management hierarchy up to the personal rates comprehensible for average employee. For example according to Mr. Cokins resignations of leaders of some of the companies which were the Media headlines during the crisis actually were activated long time ago. He asserts that it was already obvious in 2007 and the main cause is that the top management unable to carry out strategy adopted by shareholders and specially they cannot make it clear for all employees.

Talking about expenses reduction Gary Cokins paid special attention to the Activity Based Costing analysis. The Activity Based Costing analysis now is not only fixing on overhead charges and indirect costs for some products and services but more and more focusing on finding the most advantageous products and services, and the most profitable distributors and customers.
In that context the role of CRM-system is also changing. The system now is not only individualized client communication means but also a very important mechanism of differentiated approach to each customer based on the importance and profitability.
The timely issue considering correlation of the short-range planning (operational planning) and long-range planning (strategic planning) also was in the writer’s focus. Gary Cokins pointed that traditional annual budget became inadequate under the present-day conditions. Indeed the annual budget very often is impracticable for a multitude of reasons and holding fix the activities of some of the managers while the others just ignore the plan. For the timely adjustment of the annual budget are very useful means of the prognostic analytics. But it seems that the management of the strategy in its wide extent is very difficult in conditions of market instability and probably does not have a complete solution. “The strategy should never become static for a long time perspective, – says Gary Cokins, — the external factors like rivals appearances or changes in client’s preferences will always force you to change the direction.”

But it is different issue when in a short period of time you have to change the strategy completely because small adjustments are helpless. At that point fundamental change should be made for strategy map as well as for KPI sets and operational goals.
The author does not give well-defined answer but it is possible that the well adjusted and organized BSC system support can handle the problem. Certainly automation of strategy map translation into operation goal seems impossible (and actually it is) but the reduction of time to apply at least operational level changes might already become a big step. Please read more in the article: “Balanced Scorecard: improving communication in the company and adapting to market changes“.

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Why should we focus beyond financials?

January 15th, 2010
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When I ask my MBA students about the purpose of corporations, the typical answer that I hear is that it is to make a profit, to make money.  But if they are right, why should we focus on managing a company by any non-financial metric? After all,  the company either makes a profit, or it does not.

There are two major problems with this kind of thinking.

First one is occasionally picked up by my students when they start to speak in terms of  maximizing shareholder value. When they do that, often a debate ensues that results in the class realizing that risks, as well as returns are crucial to long term success of the company. No amount of short term profit can justify fraud that will lend everyone in jail, for example. And even though risk is a very pesky, hard to measure concept, on the intuitive level most people seem to get that it is worth keeping in mind.  While Kaplan and Norton’s Balanced Scorecard does not directly address risk, it at least gives us room to include those variables in the final equation, which is a lot more than what we can say for the traditional, strictly financial view of business.

Second problem is not apparent to most MBA students, unless they have had Six Sigma training, or they work in a role and for a company that really emphasizes non-financial performance. The problem is that financial variables by a vast majority are dependent output variables. Which means that they cannot be effectively changed directly. For example, Revenues cannot increase unless we do something to boost our actual sales and we cannot increase our sales without either changing our process, or improving our people, or forcing it by squeezing the juice out our employees. The last one being what typically happens in the companies with a strictly financial view.

Perhaps more importantly, the financial variables, by the time we find them out can no longer be changed, they are in our past. Thus, unless we are content chasing our own tail, it becomes essential to identify and monitor the input variables that feed in to these outputs. For example by focusing on Human Development, an organization is typically impacting its financial performance three to five years down the road. The bigger the organization, the longer is the delay. Yet, in a short run such a focus looks like an added expense, with no immediate value. Intuitively, we all get that it is important, but the financial statements tell us to cut out any human development and if our only focus is the financial objective, there is a good chance that we will.

Just as human development is the real bedrock of growth in an organization, so we also have to value the process and customer as an investment in our medium term future. For example, any investment in process improvement will likely require six months to three years to really recoup itself. The investment in marketing and customer relationships has the quickest payback and is easiest to measure for a non-financial objective, thus it gets almost as much lip service as financial perspective. But even the customer relationship issues, which can often pay for themselves in three to six months are often neglected because they are not as precisely measured and monitored and because many of those issues are really just outcomes of good human development and effective processes within the organization.

Thus, the organization which employees a balanced scorecard where human development and innovation are the only true input variable, the process and the customer view, which build on each other, all are there to support the financial view, the output variable that everyone wants to focus on has a much stronger path to long term success than an organization that simply ignores all non-financial variables.

If you want your company to do great this quarter, and be as it may six months from now, avoid balanced scorecard implementation at all costs. However, if you are in for the long haul, a meaningful deliberate participatory implementation of the balanced scorecard is essential to your continued long term survival and growth.

But my challenge to you is to not stop there. Don’t just settle for concepts that were first introduced close to 50 years ago with the total house of quality and Toyota’s view of People, Process, Product, Profit, which has an eerie resemblance to the Balanced Scorecard’s:

  • Financial;
  • Customer;
  • Internal Business;
  • Innovation and Learning.

Don’t get me wrong, it is a great place to start. Even Andrew Carnegie’s 19th century assertion in his Gospel of Wealth that to be successful a business must focus on People as well as profits will get you ahead of many companies that stubbornly only look to their accounting books.  But don’t stop there, I have already mentioned Risk Management as a dimension that trumps even the Financial dimension and can be integrated in to your implementations of the balanced scorecard. In the near future I will be discussing a few other dimensions and a comprehensive system of management that I have been working on by broadening or occasionally focusing the balanced scorecard implementations with many of my clients.

Oleg Tumarkin is an Adjunct Professor of Business at Lakeland College, an Adjunct Instructor of Business at Concordia University Wisconsin and Adjunct Instructor of Business and IT at ITT TECH Institute. He is the owner of FutureWorks Business Expert, which in partnership with AKS-Labs provides business coaching and Balanced Scorecard implementations.  Mr. Tumarkin  is a graduate of Milwaukee School Of Engineering, received his Masters of Business Administration from Concordia University of Wisconsin and is currently pursuing a Doctorate from William Howard Taft University. His life’s passion is the development of a universal business measurement and management system that would move the world of management out of the realm of alchemy and in to the realm of a repeatable, replicable, yet humane and flexible science.

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